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09/08/2010 - Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Russia's top player, Vera Zvonareva, was a straight-set quarterfinal winner Wednesday at the 2010 U.S. Open.
The seventh-seeded Zvonareva reached her second straight Grand Slam semifinal by handling 31st-seeded Kaia Kanepi 6-3, 7-5 on another sun-filled afternoon at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.
Zvonareva broke Kanepi for a 6-5 lead in the second set, and converted on her first match point in the next game when Kanepi launched one final backhand wide of the court at Ashe Stadium.
The 26-year-old Zvonareva advanced in 1 hour, 53 minutes, despite only striking 10 winners over two sets. The Russian did, however, pile up seven service breaks, compared to four for her Estonian counterpart, who also misfired for nine double faults.
Kanepi also appeared in the Wimbledon quarterfinals in July.
Zvonareva will meet the Caroline Wozniacki-Dominika Cibulkova winner in Friday's semis, while the other final-four bout will pit second-seeded and defending champion Kim Clijsters against third-seeded former titlist Venus Williams. The former world No. 1 Clijsters beat Wozniacki, this year's top seed, in last year's U.S. Open finale, also titled here in 2005, and was the runner-up in 2003. The former top-ranked Williams titled here in 2000 and 2001 and was the runner-up in Flushing in 1997 and 2002.
The feisty Zvonareva, who celebrated a birthday here on Tuesday, will appear in her third career major semifinal. She's now reached the final four in three of her last seven Grand Slam events and is trying to give Russia a third U.S. Open champion in seven years.
Zvonareva lost to Serena Williams in July's Wimbledon finale.
The newest U.S. Open champ will pocket at least $1.7 million.
<< Hamilton QB Glenn among CFL Players of the Week
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hamilton quarterback Kevin Glenn, Calgary
Stampeders defensive back Brandon Smith and Tiger-Cats linebacker Markeith
Knowlton were chosen as the CFL's Players of the Week.
Glenn led the Tiger-Cats t
<< Line of Scrimmage: Week 1 - Conspicuous absences
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When confronted with a media inquiry
regarding a team member who is absent due to holdout, injury or suspension,
NFL coaches are fond of saying they'd rather talk about the "players that are
here."
It's s
<< Predators ink Franson
Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Nashville Predators signed
defenseman Cody Franson to a two-year contract worth $1.6 million on
Wednesday.
The 23-year-old compiled six goals and 21 points in 61 games during his
<< Red Wings bring back Maltby
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Red Wings have signed veteran
forward Kirk Maltby to a one-year, two-way contract.
No terms of the deal were announced.
The 37-year-old Maltby totaled four goals and six points over 52
Swisher's HR in ninth boosts Yankees over Orioles >>
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nick Swisher's one-out, two-run homer in the
bottom of the ninth lifted the New York Yankees to a 3-2 victory over
Baltimore in the finale of a three-game set.
Koji Uehara (1-1) began the home
Turkey and Serbia move into semifinals at Worlds >>
Istanbul, Turkey (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ersan Ilyasova poured in 19 points and
grabbed five rebounds to lead Turkey to a comfortable 95-68 win over Slovenia
in the quarterfinals of the 2010 FIBA World Championship.
Turkey will meet Serbia,
Bryans reach fourth U.S. Open final >>
Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The top-seeded twin Bryan brothers,
Bob and Mike, will play in their fourth men's doubles final at the U.S. Open.
The 32-year-old Bryans handled a 12th-seeded Spanish tandem of Tommy Robredo
and M
Wolverines safety Emilien to transfer >>
Ann Arbor, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michigan sophomore safety Vladimir Emilien
has asked for his release from the university in order to transfer.
The News of Ann Arbor on Wednesday reported that head coach Rich Rodriguez
granted the re
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
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